Polymarket Traders Betting on Sam Altman's Fate Have Become Bipolar
24 hours ago, prediction markets were almost certain that Altman wouldn't be back as OpenAI's CEO. Now the market's answer to that question has changed twice. Source
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Polymarket
OpenAI CEO Drama Keeps PolyMarket Betters Busy
Another contract asks if Altman would be criminally charged by Nov. 30, with Yes currently trading at 1 cent. A report from Axios, citing a leaked memo, says that Altman's firing "was not made in response to malfeasance or anything related to our financial, business, safety, or security/privacy practices." Source
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Crypto Predictions Site Polymarket Foresees Republicans Winning Both Senate and House
The site is giving an overall 64% chance of Republicans taking control of Congress, and 87% chance of them winning the House, indicating Democrats could be in for a rude shock. According to the site, the tightest Senate races will be in the states of Arizona (Democrats having a 51%
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Crypto Predictions Site Polymarket Taking Bets on Whether Russia Will Use a Nuclear Weapon by 2023
Polymarket detailed that “this market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by Dec. 31, 2022, 11:59:59 p.m. ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ‘No.’” It added that to meet the “Yes” criteria, the detonation of a nuclear device must
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Polymarket Introduces New Information Markets After CFTC Fine, but Not for US Traders
The leader in news and information on cryptocurrency, digital assets and the future of money, CryptoX is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CryptoX is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies
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Crypto predictions platform Polymarket fined $1.4M by CTFC
New York-based crypto predictions platform Polymarket has reached a settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to pay a fine of $1.4 million. Polymarket is a decentralized platform that enables users to bet on the outcomes of event markets such as pro-sports games and political elections via binary options
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CFTC Fines ‘Decentralized’ Prediction Market Platform Polymarket $1.4 Million, Shuts Down Noncompliant Markets – Regulation Bitcoin News
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has ordered a “decentralized” prediction market platform to shut down non-compliant markets and pay a fine of $1.4 million. “Polymarket had been operating an illegal unregistered or non-designated facility for event-based binary options online trading contracts, known as ‘event markets,'” said the derivatives
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