Thursday, May 2, 2024
Home > Analysis > Bitcoin Price Faces Rejection and Now At Risk of Downside Extension

Bitcoin Price Faces Rejection and Now At Risk of Downside Extension

Bitcoin price is still struggling to settle above $38,000. BTC is showing a few bearish signs and might decline below the $37,150 support.

  • Bitcoin is still facing heavy resistance near the $37,750 resistance.
  • The price is trading below $37,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $37,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to move down if it breaks the $37,150 support.

Bitcoin Price Signals Downside Correction

Bitcoin price made another attempt to surpass the $37,750 resistance. BTC spiked above the $37,750 and $38,000 resistance levels. However, it failed to stay above the $38,000 level.

A high was formed near $38,432 and the price reacted to the downside. There was a move below the $38,000 and $37,750 levels. A low is formed near $37,151 and the price is now consolidating losses. It is showing bearish signs below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $38,432 swing high to the $37,151 low.

Bitcoin is now trading below $37,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $37,400 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $37,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The first major resistance is forming near $37,750. The main resistance is now near the $38,000 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $38,432 swing high to the $37,151 low. A close above the $38,000 resistance might start a strong increase.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The next key resistance could be near $38,500, above which BTC could rise and test the $39,200 level. In the stated case, it could even rally toward the $40,000 resistance.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $38,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $37,150 level.

The next major support is $36,700. If there is a move below $36,700, there is a risk of more downsides. In the stated case, the price could drop toward the $36,000 support in the near term. The next key support or target could be $35,650.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $37,150, followed by $36,700.

Major Resistance Levels – $37,750, $38,000, and $38,500.

Source link