Fears of impending selling pressure from the defunct Mt. Gox exchange and potential miner sales pushed Bitcoin (BTC) under $59,000 on Thursday, marking its lowest level since late April. The anticipation of asset distributions from Mt. Gox, set to begin in July 2024, has contributed to the market’s anxiety.
Market Impact and Liquidations
Mt. Gox, which experienced a major hack in 2014, will start distributing assets to its clients next year. These repayments, made in Bitcoin (BTC) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), are expected to exert significant selling pressure on both markets. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has lost 3.3%, according to CoinGecko data, with the sell-off starting shortly after the Tokyo equity markets opened.
Major cryptocurrencies also saw declines amid Bitcoin’s weakness. Ethereum (ETH) dropped 4%, while Solana (SOL) and Dogecoin (DOGE) fell as much as 8%. The broad-based CryptoX 20 (CD20), which tracks the largest tokens, is down 4.8% in the past 24 hours.
Futures Market and Liquidations
Futures trades betting on higher prices saw significant liquidations, with over $230 million lost in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGlass data. BTC and ETH-tracked futures each experienced over $60 million in long liquidations, while products tracking DOGE, SOL, XRP, and PEPE recorded at least $4 million in losses.
These liquidations are the highest for long traders since late June. Binance saw the most liquidations among crypto exchanges, totaling over $110 million. Liquidations occur when an exchange forcefully closes a trader’s leveraged position due to a partial or total loss of the initial margin. This happens when a trader cannot meet the margin requirements for a leveraged position, resulting in insufficient funds to keep the trade open.
Such data is useful for traders as it indicates leverage being effectively washed out from popular futures products, acting as a short-term signal of a decline in price volatility.
Market Outlook
Trading firm QCP Capital expressed a cautious outlook for the coming months. In a Thursday broadcast on Telegram, they stated, “We anticipate a subdued Q3 for BTC as the market remains uncertain around the supply from the Mt. Gox release.”
The looming distributions from Mt. Gox and ongoing miner sales are creating a cloud of uncertainty in the market. As Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies face this selling pressure, the market could see continued volatility and downward trends.
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