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Bitcoin Down 20% From March But Glassnode Analysts Are Very Bullish: Here’s Why

Bitcoin might have posted the deepest correction since the FTX crash in November 2022, dipping over 20% from its all-time high of around $74,000. However, Glassnode analysts, while sharing their preview on X, remain cautiously optimistic. 

BTC corrections | Source: Glassnode via X

Bitcoin Drops 20% From March High, But Glassnode Is Bullish

Glassnode notes that the Bitcoin “macro uptrend still appears to be one of the more resilient in history” and that though corrections have been made, they are relatively shallow. With this position, the blockchain analytics platform confirms that the coin has improved with liquidity rising, reducing volatility.

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Following the correction from March 2023 highs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain the uptrend. So far, BTC has support at around $60,000, but a key reaction level to watch is $56,500 on the lower side. On the flip side, if prices recover, breaking above $66,000, BTC might rally, even breaching $72,000 and later $74,000.

Bitcoin price trending sideways on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
Bitcoin price trending sideways on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

However, for bulls to find support and prices to rally, triggers would be from fundamental factors. Though price action structure might offer support, price catalysts are, as history shows, related to market events.

As Glassnode observes, the robust macro trend, bullish for Bitcoin, has tapered volatility, helping maintain the uptrend. The increasingly shallow corrections, as the blockchain analytics platform notes, point to a more mature market backed by more institutions.

Whales Accumulating As Institutions Eye BTC

Confidence remains high. On-chain data reveals that one whale has taken advantage of the relatively low prices and the correction to stack coins.

In the last week, the whale bought over 100 BTC, pushing the amount of coins bought this month to over 7,257 BTC. This aggressive accumulation suggests that the whale, even at the current multi-year high, Bitcoin could be undervalued.

BTC whale accumulating | Source: Analyst on X
BTC whale accumulating | Source: Analyst on X

There could be more Bitcoin tailwinds incoming. For instance, this week, former United States president Donald Trump started accepting crypto donations in the ongoing campaign. This shift of stance has been bullish since Trump dismissed Bitcoin earlier. 

While this happens, European regulators appear open to approving Bitcoin as an investable asset within Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities (UCITS) funds. If this goes through, it could unlock more billions into Bitcoin from European institutions.

This move is massive, considering that banking giants like Morgan Stanley and BNP Paribas are already exploring ways for their clients to invest in BTC.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Term NUPL Value Turns Negative, What This Means For Price

From a macro level, the rising M2 money supply in the United States amid concerns from the United States Federal Reserve that inflation is high might further buoy Bitcoin demand. BTC, like gold, is considered a safe haven, a hedge against inflation since its supply is designed to be deflationary. 

Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView



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