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Is Bitcoin Rally Over? $8B Wallet Hack, Holders Retreat

Key Notes

  • Over $8.6B in dormant Bitcoin from 2011 suddenly moved, sparking fears of a historic hack.
  • Bitcoin trades at $108K, struggling to break resistance amid whale profit-taking and retail buying.
  • Binance Futures Open Interest stalls at $11.5B, signaling potential exhaustion in bullish momentum.

Bitcoin is trading at $108,053, down nearly 1% in the last 24 hours after failing to break above the recent high of $109,142.23 convincingly. With the cryptocurrency hovering just 3.4% below its ATH, market participants question the longevity of the bull cycle.

$8.6 Billion Awakening

Eight long-dormant Bitcoin wallets, untouched since 2011, collectively moved over $8.6 billion worth of BTC. Each wallet held exactly 10,000 BTC, acquired initially at dirt-cheap prices between $0.78 and $3.37, representing a staggering 137,179x return.


What’s most concerning is the synchronized movement of these wallets, which hadn’t seen any activity for over 14 years. The sudden reappearance left investors questioning if this is coordinated profit-taking or state-level asset mobilization.

Coinbase’s Head of Product, Conor Grogan, even hinted that the transactions could be a result of a potential hack. The executive pointed to a suspicious Bitcoin Cash (BCH) test transaction conducted just hours before the BTC transfers.

Hackers often use similar techniques of probing to confirm access to private keys before making major moves.

“If true… this would be by far the largest heist in human history,” Grogan posted on X.

While Grogan’s theory adds further insight into the abnormal behavior, the fact that other BCH wallets tied to the same entity remain untouched has further fueled speculation.

Whale Exodus & Retail Influx

According to analyst Amr Taha, the July market structure suggests that whales may be exiting while retail investors pile in.

Entities holding over 10,000 BTC reportedly offloaded 12,000 BTC on July 3rd alone, with the 1,000–10,000 BTC cohort selling an additional 14,000 BTC since June 30. This distribution pattern often marks a local top or mid-cycle cooling.

Meanwhile, short-term holders, typically retail, have added 382,000 BTC to their portfolios in early July, signaling renewed optimism. Long-term holders, however, are trimming their exposure, a sign of profit booking at current prices.

Further, Binance Futures’ Open Interest has failed to break the $11.5 billion resistance level decisively, mirroring conditions seen on June 10th. The inability to sustain momentum on derivatives markets highlights that bears are at play.

Technical Outlook: MACD, RSI, and Fibonacci Levels

On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s MACD is in neutral territory — the signal and MACD lines are converging with no clear bullish crossover in sight, suggesting a pause in upward momentum.

Meanwhile, the RSI  is at 54, reflecting indecision. Neither overbought nor oversold, the RSI hints at a wait-and-watch mood among traders.

BTC 1D Chart | Source: TradingView

More critically, Bitcoin is attempting breakout over the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level ($107,964). The next key Fibonacci target lies at 1.618 ($118,185), and if bulls can reclaim momentum, a move toward $130K (2.618 level) or even $150K (4.236) is conceivable.

However, failure to hold above $107K could see Bitcoin revisit support near $101K (0.382 level) or even $98K (swing low).

If $107K holds and the macro backdrop remains favorable, bulls may yet charge toward the $118K–$130K range. But if sentiment deteriorates further,  especially if the $8.6 billion transfer is confirmed to be malicious, a sharp correction could be imminent.

Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.

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Parth Dubey

A crypto journalist with over 5 years of experience in the industry, Parth has worked with major media outlets in the crypto and finance world, gathering experience and expertise in the space after surviving bear and bull markets over the years. Parth is also an author of 4 self-published books.

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