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Here’s why Solana price may crash 40% soon

Solana price has pulled back after soaring to $295 in January as its ecosystem and the broader crypto industry lost momentum.

Solana (SOL) dropped to the psychological level of $200, marking a 35% decline from its highest point this year.

This retreat is largely due to Bitcoin (BTC) and other altcoins pulling back. Bitcoin has fallen from this year’s high of $109,200 to below $99,000, weighing on tokens in the Solana ecosystem.

According to CoinGecko, the total market cap of all Solana meme coins has declined from over $25 billion in January to $12 billion. Most of these tokens, including Bonk, Dogwifhat, Pudgy Penguins, and Fartcoin, have dropped by more than 30% in the last 30 days.

Solana meme coins have crashed | Source: CoinGecko

Further data shows that Solana’s decentralized exchange trading volume has fallen in recent days as investors exit meme coins. Trading volume has dropped by 25% in the past seven days to $41.6 billion. Raydium, Meteora, and Lifinity saw their weekly volume decline by over 30% in the same period.

Solana’s non-fungible token sales have also dropped in the last 30 days. According to CryptoSlam, these sales fell by 36% in the last 30 days to $75 million. 

More data also shows hat the number of active wallets in the network has dropped to 3.8 million, down from 6.5 million in January.

SOL active wallets
SOL active wallets | Source: Solscan

Solana price prediction

Solana price
SOL price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily chart shows that the SOL price peaked at $295.05 in January and has moved into a technical bear market, falling by about 35%. Solana has also moved below the 50-day and 25-day Exponential Moving Averages.

It has moved below the 25-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages, a sign that bears are gaining control. SOL also moved below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. Notably, the coin has formed a double-top pattern at $265, and whose neckline is at $170. 

A double-top is a widely recognized bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. A drop below the neckline and the lower boundary of the ascending channel would confirm further downside, potentially pushing the price to the 61.8% retracement level at $120, representing a 40% decline from current levels.

Source