Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD), a California-based financial services company, offers a range of investor services including cryptocurrency trading, dividend reinvestment, and fractional share investment. The platform allows real-time trading in stocks, crypto, and options, earning transactional fees from routing orders to market makers upon execution.
With its close association with the cryptocurrency market, Robinhood shares have surged 35% since the year began, in tandem with Bitcoin’s breakout to record highs. Despite this, HOOD still trades over 11% below its 52-week high.
In its Q4 results released in February, Robinhood posted a profit of $30 million, marking its second profitable quarter. Revenue for the period reached $471 million, up 24% from the previous year. Interest revenue experienced a notable 41% increase, reaching $236 million, whereas transaction-based revenue amounted to $200 million, marking an 8% year-over-year rise. Notably, cryptocurrency revenue contributed $43 million to the latter, offsetting a slight decline in options revenue.
However, for the full year, HOOD reported a net loss of $487 million, despite a 37% YoY revenue increase to $1.87 billion. Management highlighted its expanding global presence in crypto services during the quarterly earnings call, noting brokerage services in the U.K. and crypto offerings in the EU.
More recently, Robinhood reported a 10% sequential increase in crypto trading volumes to $6.5 billion in February.
Bernstein commenced coverage of Robinhood with an “Outperform” rating and set a price target of $30. The analysts anticipate significant institutional adoption of Bitcoin to drive HOOD’s revenues substantially higher, projecting a nine-fold increase by 2025, with the total crypto market cap reaching $7.5 trillion.
This new price target from Bernstein, the highest on Wall Street, implies a potential upside of 74.4% from current levels.
However, other analysts hold varying views on Robinhood, with a consensus “Hold” rating among 15 analysts covering the stock. While four analysts rate it as a “Strong Buy,” eight suggest “Hold,” one recommends a “Moderate Sell,” and two advocate a “Strong Sell.” The mean price target from this group stands at $14.61, indicating a potential downside of 15.5%.
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