Recent spikes in Google search queries related to cryptocurrencies have often signaled major market peaks, aligning with Warren Buffett’s advice to buy in doom and sell in boom. This pattern now appears in the market for AI-related tokens.
Tokens like FET, RNDR, TAO, and GRT have seen their market value drop by up to 30% over the past week, according to data from Coingecko. Concurrently, Google Trends indicates that search interest in artificial intelligence has likely peaked.
FET ranks as the fourth-worst performing among the top 100 cryptocurrencies in the past seven days. In contrast, Bitcoin fell just 2.8% during the same period, while the broader CryptoX 20 Index declined by 6%.
Google Trends, often used to gauge retail investor interest in trending topics, shows that the search query “AI” reached its highest value of 100 last week—the peak in the past five years. This score represents the maximum search volume for the query within a given timeframe.
This surge in AI interest suggests that public excitement has reached a new high, drawing more retail investors into the market. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), a leading AI chipmaker, has also seen increased attention alongside AI trends.
Although indicative, Google Trends can serve as a valuable tool to watch, as retail investors often act based on emotions and are usually the last to enter bull markets and the first to exit bear markets. For instance, spikes in searches for Bitcoin and Solana coincided with their respective price peaks in May 2021 and November 2021.
It’s important to note that Bitcoin, which has a strong positive correlation with Nvidia, bottomed out with tech stocks in late 2022 following the launch of ChatGPT, which heightened general awareness of artificial intelligence. GMO’s Chief Investment Strategist Jeremy Grantham has noted that the AI rally might be a bubble within a bubble, potentially on the verge of bursting.
This insight may encourage investors to exercise caution when making investment decisions.
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